EDDIE could go on Thurs the 20th. Every mag and their competitors are frothing over this Pacific swell. Question is, how does it compare to 2009?
Simple answer is that it's probably not going to turn into a swell of equal consequence to 2009 but it could be big enough to run the Eddie Aikau. However this is not guaranteed.
NOAA UPDATE: "Jason Satellite estimated heights a notch lower than wave model output. This suggests the wave model output near Waimea Bay should not be over estimated." A call which adds a layer of doubt to the likelihood of calling the event on.
It's a big mama storm, of that there's no doubt. Unfortunately a lot of the energy is directed a little too west to strike the Hawaiian islands full-on, instead wasting itself in the empty Pacific before making surfers in Western America happy at a more manageable size.
"Typically a swell like this would produce waves in the 20-30ft range" says Ben F, forecast director.
A dead give-away of the intentions to call it on are the planes burning over the Pacific chock full of commentators and competitors. If it doesn't go then it's a last minute holiday in the sun and a guaranteed swell.