In order to achieve a wave face of greater than 30ft+ the event forecasters will be looking for a swell with an average in excess of 10ft at 15 seconds. This magic jump in size is down to the focussing ability of the reef at Pe'ahi which will produce breaking waves 3 to 5 times higher than the average ocean size.
Utilising 10 years of averaged data you would expect to see 4.5 swells at the 10ft at 16 second mark
during the current waiting period of December 7th till March 15th. Taking one second off the requirement will give you a frequency of just over 7 instances and lifting the bar up to the 15ft and 15 seconds required by the Eddie Aikau
at Waimea brings the average frequency right down to 1.6.
These two will not clash as the event has stated: "RED BULL JAWS, Paddle at Pe'ahi respects and honours the tradition of big wave riding and its pioneers. While the event period for RED BULL JAWS coincides with The Quiksilver In Memory of Eddie Aikau event on Oahu, organizers for each event are in communication and will ensure there will not be any conflict. The optimal conditions to run at each of these two locations are very unique." © 2013 magicseaweed/Red Bull