Hurricane Delta: Forecast Outlook as 25th Named Storm Set to Tear Through the Gulf


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Updated 18d ago

Talk about a back-to-back season. We're all still reeling from the pumping sessions Hurricane Teddy left in its wake. Now, Hurricane Delta is making its way across the Gulf of Mexico, which could send some decent surf to Texas and the east coast of Mexico.

And if you're wondering why we're in the Greek alphabet for naming storms, it's because we've burned through the allotted 21 names for this season, and we've moved into Greek names for the second time in history. Delta's officially the 25th named storm of the North Atlantic Hurricane Season. The busiest of all time was in 2005 when we were graced again with 25 named storms. And with the season officially closing on November 30, we've a few more weeks for 2020 to be a record breaking year.

Forecast: Gulf Coast

Delta's path.

Delta's path.

“Hurricane Delta – the fourth tropical storm this season to earn a Greek name – is currently located just off the Yucatan Peninsula on the Gulf Coast of Mexico,” says MSW forecaster Tony Butt. “It is moving steadily towards the west-northwest at around 16 mph, with maximum sustained winds of around 120 mph. The system is expected to continue moving west-northwest for about the next 12 hours but then gradually begin arcing around to the right, steered around the western periphery of an anticyclone centred just east of Florida. This will take it on a northwest track on Thursday and a northerly track on Friday.

“Delta is presently a Category-3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, and is expected to more or less maintain strength as it moves out from the Yucatan Peninsula and into the warm water of the open Gulf early Thursday. Longer-term forecasts are for it to remain a major hurricane as it tracks through the Gulf, and to make landfall somewhere along the northern Gulf coast, most likely in Louisiana, on Friday.

Forecast: Texas

“As the system travels through the Gulf and arcs around to the right, a short, fast-moving area of strong winds will generate a pulse of swell radiating out from the northeast around to the south.

“The latest swell forecasts suggest that east-facing coasts of Mexico and southern Texas will get some good swell on Friday, with wave heights exceeding six feet at the most exposed spots, and light to moderate cross-shore winds, perhaps light offshores in the south of the area. South-facing coasts of Texas and Louisiana will get some very large swell as the system approaches on Friday, but most likely accompanied by strong cross-shore winds and very stormy conditions.”