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Carmel Beach Seasonal Surf Averages

Based on the last ten years data for this location this page gives seasonal trends and an idea of what kind of conditions you can expect and when. Of course these are just averages - it's worth reading carefully to understand exactly what they mean and to recognise the kind of variation you could expect on a trip because an average can never tell the whole story. Click on a month below to see more detail.
If you want a past forecast for a specific date range then click here.

Local Photo


Swell Consistency and Wind Overview

Wind Swell Ground Swell
98%
88%

10%

Jan
99%
90%

9%

Feb
97%
83%

14%

Mar
94%
66%

28%

Apr
89%
49%

40%

May
88%
40%

48%

Jun
82%
35%

47%

Jul
80%
41%

39%

Aug
89%
53%

36%

Sep
94%
74%

20%

Oct
98%
86%

12%

Nov
99%
93%

6%

Dec
This graph shows the percentage of days that had a ridable wind swell (7 seconds period or more) or groundswell (10 seconds period or more) of over 3ft. It also shows the dominant wind direction. Not all of these days will neccessarily give great surf, and very short lived wind swells or longer period secondary swells may produce surf not recorded, but it gives a clear idea of the seasonal trend and a rough guide to the chances of scoring something ridable.

Monthly Overview

Jan
Swell
Consistency
98%
Average Swell
Height
9ft
Average Swell
Period
13s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Feb
Swell
Consistency
99%
Average Swell
Height
9ft
Average Swell
Period
13s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Mar
Swell
Consistency
97%
Average Swell
Height
8ft
Average Swell
Period
12s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Apr
Swell
Consistency
94%
Average Swell
Height
7ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
May
Swell
Consistency
89%
Average Swell
Height
6ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Jun
Swell
Consistency
88%
Average Swell
Height
6ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Jul
Swell
Consistency
82%
Average Swell
Height
5ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Aug
Swell
Consistency
80%
Average Swell
Height
4ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Sep
Swell
Consistency
89%
Average Swell
Height
5ft
Average Swell
Period
11s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Oct
Swell
Consistency
94%
Average Swell
Height
6ft
Average Swell
Period
12s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Nov
Swell
Consistency
98%
Average Swell
Height
7ft
Average Swell
Period
12s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell
Dec
Swell
Consistency
99%
Average Swell
Height
9ft
Average Swell
Period
13s
Dominant Wind
Dominant Swell

Understanding this Data

These swell averages are calculated ONLY on swells of more than 7 seconds period. This means this is the average height of a swell that's likely to produce ridable surf NOT an average of every wave heading toward the beach in a month. Likewise the period is the average period OVER 7 seconds. There will be days that have short period wind swells that won't produce and ridable swell and these are excluded from the averages. The consistency figure gives the percentage of days that meet this condition.

For example if the consistency is 50% you could expect the 'average' swell for about 15 days in the month. Of course an average tells only part of the story. A combination of very large and very small swells may produce the same average as a consistent medium sized swell.

Monthly Data

January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Nearby Spots

Andrew Molera State Park
Moss Landing
Manresa Beach
Pleasure Point
Steamer Lane
Monterey Bay Offshore
Four Mile
Davenport Landing
Waddell Creek
Sand Dollar Beach
Princeton Jetty
Mavericks (Half Moon Bay)
Linda Mar / Pacifica
Pico Creek
Cambria
Ocean Beach
Marin County
Cayucos
Stinson Beach
Bolinas
Bolinas Jetty
Morro Bay
Saint Annes
Oceano/Pismo
Dillon Beach
Salmon Creek
Surf Beach
Jalama Beach County Park
Secrets
The Ranch - Cojo Reef
Black Point Beach
Tajiguas
Refugio State Beach
Beavers/Hazards
Haskels Beach
Point Arena
Sands Beach
Devereux
Campus Point
Leadbetter Beach
Sandspit
Hammonds Reef
Miramar
Skunk Point
Tarpits/Carpinteria State Beach
Rincon Point
La Conchita Beach
Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals
Hobson County Park
Faria Beach
Caspar Beach
Pitas Point/Faria County Park
Solimar Reef and Beach
Emma Wood
Virgin Creek
California Street (C Street)
New Jetty/South Jetty
Silver Strand
Port Hueneme Beach Park
Ormond Beach
County Line/Yerba Buena Beach
Staircase Beach
Leo Carrillo
Zero/Nicholas Canyon County Beach
Secos
Zuma Beach County Park
Point Dume
Point Dume
Latigo Canyon
Shelter Cove